Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.940534e-01 3.959988e-01 0.514858 0.661470 0.835237 1.032491 1.271154
2025-12-14 1.597104e-01 2.777043e-01 0.438381 0.662828 0.957944 1.322910 1.798170
2025-12-21 8.122745e-02 1.909536e-01 0.367795 0.646355 1.047684 1.580048 2.313731
2025-12-28 4.273003e-02 1.406227e-01 0.327731 0.656211 1.166829 1.882345 2.911085
2026-01-04 2.057578e-02 1.021578e-01 0.289925 0.656244 1.266189 2.162129 3.496243
2026-01-11 7.858752e-03 6.936851e-02 0.246269 0.632415 1.320667 2.377686 4.002977
2026-01-18 2.422598e-03 4.727995e-02 0.212472 0.615008 1.378489 2.597612 4.523934
2026-01-25 6.066423e-04 3.427336e-02 0.192786 0.618583 1.469022 2.870042 5.131454
2026-02-01 3.302578e-05 2.183245e-02 0.164247 0.593987 1.503540 3.053453 5.612322
2026-02-08 7.671778e-08 1.719026e-02 0.159077 0.621255 1.635448 3.399373 6.350893
2026-02-15 NaN 1.187780e-02 0.145148 0.622524 1.715945 3.663236 6.971835
2026-02-22 NaN 1.034251e-02 0.148659 0.670364 1.892429 4.095426 7.867650
2026-03-01 NaN 8.014735e-03 0.145169 0.699453 2.036171 4.483531 8.715553
2026-03-08 NaN 5.483956e-03 0.135729 0.708978 2.140194 4.808537 9.475395
2026-03-15 NaN 3.112244e-03 0.120456 0.695816 2.193892 5.047537 10.105209
2026-03-22 NaN 1.995819e-03 0.113761 0.708335 2.304276 5.391066 10.913170
2026-03-29 NaN 1.099795e-03 0.104664 0.709469 2.388334 5.689648 11.654881
2026-04-05 NaN 3.965598e-04 0.090117 0.684838 2.409622 5.873542 12.212005
2026-04-12 NaN 1.071713e-04 0.078576 0.666700 2.443282 6.080303 12.811250
2026-04-19 NaN 2.724280e-05 0.072802 0.670626 2.530502 6.390201 13.590248
2026-04-26 NaN 2.424298e-07 0.061672 0.644653 2.539609 6.550945 14.120225
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.061698 0.673565 2.691779 6.992058 15.137047
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.056796 0.674927 2.771762 7.295150 15.923330